Analysis - MLB Predictions

HIGH (17+)

116-29

80.0%

145 games

MED (8-16)

81-44

64.8%

125 games

LOW (0-7)

88-84

51.2%

172 games

Rule-by-Rule Performance

Top Pick Tracker →

Rule-by-rule accuracy breakdown with status badges
#	Rule Name	Fired	W	L	Acc %	Status
1	Lower starter ERA	296	194	102	65.5%	STRONG
2	Lower starter WHIP	270	174	96	64.4%	OK
3	Ace on the mound	103	76	27	73.8%	STRONG
4	Liability on the mound	203	141	62	69.5%	STRONG
5	Hot pitcher (last 3)	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
6	Cold pitcher (last 3)	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
7	Strikeout artist	384	260	124	67.7%	STRONG
8	Pitcher K trend (L3)	113	81	32	71.7%	STRONG
9	Pitcher low WHIP (L3)	163	105	58	64.4%	OK
10	Pitcher going deep (L3)	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
11	ERA gap > 2.0	148	107	41	72.3%	STRONG
12	Pitcher control (L3)	328	215	113	65.5%	STRONG
13	Pitcher venue split	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
14	Pitcher D/N split	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
15	Strong at venue	14	12	2	85.7%	STRONG
16	Weak at venue	5	2	3	40.0%	LOW DATA
17	Better overall record	360	229	131	63.6%	OK
18	Superior run diff	282	181	101	64.2%	OK
19	Better last 10	361	235	126	65.1%	STRONG
20	OPS advantage	332	218	114	65.7%	STRONG
21	Bullpen ERA	286	188	98	65.7%	STRONG
22	Win streak 3+	111	78	33	70.3%	STRONG
23	Lose streak 3+	113	84	29	74.3%	STRONG
24	Home field	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
25	Home dominance	158	105	53	66.5%	STRONG
26	Road strength	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
27	Wind out + power	65	44	21	67.7%	STRONG
28	Day/Night record	125	80	45	64.0%	OK
29	Div familiarity	92	59	33	64.1%	OK
30	Overperformer regr	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
31	Pitcher rest days	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
32	Handedness edge	50	30	20	60.0%	OK
33	Temperature effect	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
34	H2H pitcher history	0	0	0	0.0%	LOW DATA
35	One-run game record	87	57	30	65.5%	STRONG

STRONG 65%+ OK 55-64% WEAK 45-54% BAD <45% LOW DATA <10 fires